What Happens Next…Steven Lieberman
What Happens Next?
I am writing this blog on Friday, November 6th. The election remains in turmoil, and while all signs seem to point towards a Biden win, it is not a foregone conclusion.
As I am sure things will change before you read this blog, I felt it was important to understand when it was written.
Regardless of the ultimate outcome, there are some interesting takeaways from this whole mess that need to be addressed.
I have said in the past that Gorbachev and Trump were far closer than most people realize.
Gorbachev issued Perestroika which, fundamentally, was a deregulation of the Soviet System.
Trump’s goal was to “drain the swamp”… essentially a full-scale repudiation of the political class in Washington and a commensurate deregulation of economic regulations that stymie GDP.
The Communist party in the USSR became concerned that the pace of reform was outstripping its ability to control the levers of power. This, ultimately, resulted in a coup.
Gorbachev was sent to his dacha on the Black Sea, effectively stripped of power and placed under house arrest.
Trump (potentially) lost an election that has been mired in allegation of widespread voter and pollster fraud.
Soon after Gorbachev’s ouster, a massive number of people gathered outside the White House (the Soviet legislative house) in Moscow. Among the protesters was a political firebrand named Boris Yeltsin.
This spark caused the collapse of the Soviet Union.
I don’t suspect that we are going to see a similar occurrence here in the United States. It certainly will not happen at the speed that it happened in the Soviet Union… but there is a fundamental shift coming and, ironically, Biden/Harris may be the predicate that is necessary for that shift.
(If you have arrived here from our Newsletter, continue reading here…)
I was talking to the Cadet the day after the election and she stated something that bears sharing. Her concern was not a Biden presidency. She feels, as do I, that it will be constrained by the Democrats in Congress who are already smarting from the losses they experienced as a result of their radical wing.
Her rationale is that if Trump were to be reelected, a candidate would emerge in a couple of years that would wholly embrace the radical leftist agenda. With Americans bored of “Trumpism”, that candidate would have a real shot.
With a Biden presidency we are headed to what effectively is going to be similar to a Carter presidency. We will become weak internationally, our GDP will become anemic, and the peace process in the Middle East will stall or completely collapse as we try to ingratiate ourselves once again with Iran.
This will naturally cause the rise of a “Reagan”. For just as Carter was a necessary predicate for Reagan, Biden will be a necessary predicate for ????
She may have a point.
What is extremely problematic, though, is how we are going to operate on the International stage. North Korea will exert its power… if for no other reason than to test. China will massively begin to essentially colonize Africa… (That, by the way, is where I see our next “war” happening)… and the Middle East peace process will stall where it is.
Will the country survive a Biden presidency?
Will the Democrats survive a Biden presidency? That is a far more interesting question.